Gulfood
17 To 21 FEB 2025 | DUBAI WORLD TRADE CENTRE
We’re excited to see you at Gulfood 2025!
Gulfood
17 To 21 FEB 2025 | DUBAI WORLD TRADE CENTRE
We’re excited to see you at Gulfood 2025!
Overall production of Canada’s major field crops, including pulses, is expected to grow by around 2.6% compared to last year, bringing total output to roughly 8% above the five-year average. This increase is largely the result of stronger yields across Western Canada. Harvest in the West is already complete, and early assessments from the Canadian Grain Commission indicate that the 2025 crop quality is generally normal to slightly above normal. In Eastern Canada, harvest is almost finished as well, and despite drier-than-usual weather in Ontario, Quebec, and the Maritimes, yields have performed better than anticipated.
Total crop supplies are only slightly higher than last year because lower carry-in stocks offset part of the production gain. Market demand remains steady: the use of grains and oilseeds is expected to soften slightly, while demand for pulses and special crops is projected to rise by about 4%. Domestic consumption shows a modest increase too. Post-harvest deliveries in Western Canada are moving smoothly and are slightly ahead of last year’s pace. Ending stocks for major crops are expected to grow, supported by higher supplies in both the grain and pulse sectors. Prices remain below last year’s levels overall; however, the month-to-month trend has been stable, reflecting solid global demand.
Approximate forecast for 2025-2026
Lentil production for 2025–26 is expected to approach 3 million tonnes, which represents roughly a 22% increase—mainly driven by improved yields in Western Canada. Red lentil output is down from last year at about 1.6 million tonnes, while large green lentil production has doubled due to strong international demand. Overall supply is also set to rise, supported by both higher beginning stocks and increased production.
Exports are projected to reach around 2.1 million tonnes, with India, the European Union, and the United States remaining the top destinations.
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During October, on-farm prices in Saskatchewan increased by about $75/t for large green lentils, while red lentil prices slipped by roughly $5/t.
Strong demand for higher-grade green lentils has been the main driver behind this price gap. By mid-November, green lentils were trading between USD 675 and 775 per ton, while red lentils were quoted between USD 600 and 650 per tons (FOB Vancouver).
Alongside quality, the main issues this season have been supply levels and shipping services. As noted earlier, although the overall quality of Canada’s green lentils has been strong, the available supply of top-grade (No.1) green lentils is lower than last year due to reduced production. Although prices have trended downward from September until now, the limited availability of grades such as No.2 and X2, along with restricted shipment capacity, has kept the market relatively stable and prevented a significant price drop. Weather-related challenges throughout the season have been a major factor behind the decline in quality.
Chickpea production for the 2025–26 season is estimated at around 331 thousand tonnes—about 15% higher than last year. Both seeded area and yield levels have improved. Production of Kabuli and desi chickpeas is expected to exceed last year’s output. Total supply is forecast to rise by about 21%, supported by higher carry-in stocks.
Exports are projected at roughly 200 thousand tonnes, with the United States and the EU continuing to serve as the primary markets. Carry-out stocks are likely to increase due to higher overall supply.
At Lord Agro, average prices are expected to range between USD 700 and 760 per tonne, slightly lower than last year, mainly due to the size profile of this year’s crop.